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Alarcón, L F and Ashley, D B (1996) Modeling Project Performance for Decision Making . Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 122(03), 265–73.

  • Type: Journal Article
  • Keywords:
  • ISBN/ISSN: 0733-9364
  • URL: https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(1996)122:3(265)
  • Abstract:
    This paper presents a performance modeling methodology for application to individual projects. The model combines experience captured from experts with assessments from the project team. The methodology consists of a conceptual, qualitative-model structure and a mathematical-model structure. The conceptual-model structure, called the general performance model (GPM), is a simplified model of the variables and interaction that influence project performance. The mathematical model uses concepts of cross-impact analysis and probabilistic inference to capture the uncertainties and interactions among project variables. The GPM allows management to test different combinations of project-execution options and predict expected cost, schedule, and other performance impacts. The methodology provides a systematic and structured process for a project-team discussion on relevant planning issues in a project. Researchers should benefit from the exploratory and analytical capabilities of the methodology, as well as the flexible knowledge structure to update models and data. Computer implementation is also attractive as a means to disseminating research results.

Gibson, G E, McGinnis, C I, Flanigan, W S and Wood, J E (1996) Constructability in Public Sector . Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 122(03), 274–80.

Gransberg, D D (1996) Optimizing Haul Unit Size and Number Based on Loading Facility Characteristics . Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 122(03), 248–53.

Hartman, F and Snelgrove, P (1996) Risk Allocation in Lump-Sum Contracts—Concept of Latent Dispute . Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 122(03), 291–6.

Hastak, M, Halpin, D W and Vanegas, J (1996) COMPASS—New Paradigm for Project Cost Control Strategy and Planning . Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 122(03), 254–64.

Ioannou, P G and Martinez, J C (1996) Comparison of Construction Alternatives Using Matched Simulation Experiments . Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 122(03), 231–41.

Lin, K and Haas, C T (1996) An Interactive Planning Environment for Critical Operations . Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 122(03), 212–22.

Samuels, A F and Bruder, M J (1996) Construction Representative: Scheduling and Cost Management . Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 122(03), 281–90.

Shohet, I M and Laufer, A (1996) Exterior Cladding Methods: A Technoeconomic Analysis . Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 122(03), 242–7.

Stager, D K (1996) Organizing and Managing a Finance-Design-Build Project in Turkey: Fourth Roebling Lecture, 1995 . Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 122(03), 199–204.

Tiong, R L K (1996) CSFs in Competitive Tendering and Negotiation Model for BOT Projects . Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 122(03), 205–11.

Walker, K K, Schexnayder, C, Mayo, R E and Walsh, K D (1996) Methods and Procedural Considerations in Demolishing Tall Concrete Chimneys . Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 122(03), 223–30.